Here are the new numbers:
6 Battleground States Obama McCain Spread
Ohio McCain +1.5
Michigan Obama +3.2
Minnesota Obama +2.6
Colorado McCain +0.5
Virginia McCain +0.6
Florida McCain +1.8
McCain has been slowly but surely picking up steam in the swing states. Currently he is competitive in Michigan and Minnesota. Those two are close to must win states for Obama, not just for his electoral vote count but for what those states have in common with other similar makeup states. If Obama loses one of those Ohio is sure to fall to McCain and that would put pressure on Wisconsin. Virginia and Colorado are very close but have recently switched in the average towards McCain.
It has not been a good month for Obama. It may seem an eternity ago but Obama has had a slow bleed since he went to the Middle East and Europe. Instead of looking presidential (he did to 200,000 Germans) he seemed to have made Foreign Policy a front page issue, where McCain certainly leads Obama. For Obama to lead he must make ground on the economy. It strikes me as obsurd to not see him pounding that like Clinton did against Bush. Of course there is no Perot to hammer the theme along with him this time.
The press has things wrong again. Conservative values are held by about 52-53% of the voters. As Obama gets vetted (exposed for his views and skeletons) he becomes more vulnerable.
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