Friday, July 4, 2008

Iran working to escape attack?

An Israeli TV station broadcast that Iran is trying to put their nuclear plan on hold to stave off attack and get the incentives that have been offered by Europe, et al. Mark my words, Iran is close to a tipping point that will get themselves attacked. We are talking weeks and months not years.

If Iran is attacked they will suffer serious enough damage to their economy, infrastructure, national pride etc. that it is hard to imagine the mullahs holding on for long. The patience of the people is growing thin as the promised relief has marginally materialized. The Mullahs know all this. If they can save face and fight another day, they just might (they will fight sooner or later)

Will it work? Possibly in the short term. The devil will be in the details. Will Iran give up their pursuit or will they just mothball it until a favorable time comes along? Don't know. I don't trust politicians to fix this, I expect them to try and get credit, whether or not the US and Israel (the western world for that matter) will be safer.

McCain shakeup

Steve Schmidt is in command now and things will be changing. This will be like a Drill Sergeant taking over the reigns of a corporation. Instead of 5 guys holding the reigns Schmidt will be holding the whip.

This seems truly needed when McCain's campaign was looking disheveled at best. He wasn't hurt much with the Colombian hostage crisis coming to an end either and him sitting there to greet them. Nice photo op.

Between the 4th and Labor day a whole lot will happen. Look for Bush to help McCain in several ways, especially in the area of national security. The President can do that. Look for Israel to do the same. Their government trusts McCain far more than they do Obama. In their minds Obama will say or do anything to get elected but what after? They don't know.

What will things look like at Labor day? Only God knows that one, but it will be different after both conventions.