Friday, July 4, 2008

Iran working to escape attack?

An Israeli TV station broadcast that Iran is trying to put their nuclear plan on hold to stave off attack and get the incentives that have been offered by Europe, et al. Mark my words, Iran is close to a tipping point that will get themselves attacked. We are talking weeks and months not years.

If Iran is attacked they will suffer serious enough damage to their economy, infrastructure, national pride etc. that it is hard to imagine the mullahs holding on for long. The patience of the people is growing thin as the promised relief has marginally materialized. The Mullahs know all this. If they can save face and fight another day, they just might (they will fight sooner or later)

Will it work? Possibly in the short term. The devil will be in the details. Will Iran give up their pursuit or will they just mothball it until a favorable time comes along? Don't know. I don't trust politicians to fix this, I expect them to try and get credit, whether or not the US and Israel (the western world for that matter) will be safer.

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