Sunday, June 8, 2008

Peace in our time?

If you think that the economy and energy are going to be the only shows in election town consider these new developments:

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=080606073645.fjrccoo1&show_article=1

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=080606102240.q43gjbot&show_article=1

If Israel attacks Iran there are going to be significant ramifications. Hezbollah will get to work quick causing havoc against Israel and US interests. Hezbollah is far more dangerous and organized than Al Qaeda (for the reasons that Al Qaeda is the focal point of the "War on Terror" and Hezbollah has state sponsors Iran and Syria). Iran might be hesitant to take Israel on directly, but they will try and make Israel's life hell. Iraq will become worse for us, also. Iran would see any attack on their nuclear facilities as an act of war by the US. They might even try and shut down the Gulf, though that might have more severe ramifications than they might wish.

There is no easy answer for this new development (has there ever been an easy one there?). Israel is probably going to take this on since it most affects them and politically their government can take the heat. Behind the scenes they have many backers that will condemn the act while cheering wildly behind closed doors. The European governments along with the Saudis, Kuwaitis and other moderate Arab governments will all breath a sigh of relief.

Do you think that people who despise W will like Bush any less if this happens? How could they? US planes may even have a role in the whole thing (shocking!). Middle-eastern governments do not play chicken very well. Afghanistan and Saddam (twice) had easy outs from our perspective. They didn't get into power by being diplomats. They would rather die honorably (their version of honorable) than show outward weakness.

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