Sunday, June 8, 2008

Another contrast

This is one amazing race, in its own way. Here we have one candidate that was awful at a very important speach (right after Obama wins needed delegates), he is not trusted by his base, is loved as a person, yet his party is disliked by the MSM. On top of these, he's too old and frankly isn't very likable.

On the other hand, he debates well, is a true war hero, loved by many independents, and has reputation as a man of character. Maybe his best feature as a Republican is that he has a reputation as not being a Bush clone.

He is pitted against a Chicago politician who has been bloodied by his associations(and a audio bite exposing him as an elite), is a true northern liberal, his wife has been stained with some comments that appear to have an anti-American, with little experience, has no significant political actions and is not a great debater (can he take a punch?).

He, on the other hand, is a person of color who has beat the Clintons, has an amazing organization, is adored in a way that borders on fanaticism, is charming with phenomenal oratory skills. Along side of all this, is a Dem, which clearly is an advantage today.

I truly believe that coming events, the direction of the economy, fuel costs in particular, Iran and other world situations, are going to be the deciding factors of this race. The odd thing with the economy is that it favors Obama but energy costs could favor McCain if he plays it right. The Repubs are going after the Dems on the votes they are trying to get to the floors of Congress.

Only a fool (or a prophet) would dare predict how this election will end. We may have much clearer vision (averaged polls) that may let us know, but there are simply too many things yet to come.

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