Sunday, October 26, 2008

7+ point lead

Regardless of all that is happening there is no way McCain wins being down 7 points. It is true that it is the electoral college numbers that will decide the election but a 7 point advantage tips too many states Obama's way.

Poll numbers tighten at the end (some argue that they are manipulated until the end when showing your guy winning for most of the time and then trying to be accurate at the end is the best for a pollster) historically and it might happen here, however, Zogby states that it could turn and be a blowout.

It could be a blowout, though much can happen in a week. From where I stand it seems a very tall order for McCain to win. If it gets near a 3 point Obama national lead, he might have a slim chance. It just seems a little too far out to pull it off for McCain.

I will make a prediction when we get closer.

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